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Ongoing India-U.S. commerce negotiations are vital in addressing these points, together with the secondary and tertiary results of excessive tariff by the US on Indian items, the month-to-month financial assessment launched by the Ministry stated.
The steep 50% tariff on Indian items getting into the U.S., which got here into impact from Wednesday (August 27, 2025), would impression exports price greater than $48 billion. The sectors which might bear the brunt of the excessive import duties imposed by the Trump administration embody textiles/ clothes, gems and jewelry, shrimp, leather-based and footwear, animal merchandise, chemical substances, and electrical and mechanical equipment.
“While the immediate impact of recent U.S. tariffs on Indian exports may appear limited, their secondary and tertiary effects on the economy pose challenges that must be addressed. In this context, the ongoing India-U.S. trade negotiations will be crucial,” it stated.
In line with the worldwide shift in direction of diversification and strategic realignment, it stated, India is actively pursuing a diversified commerce technique to maintain its resilient commerce efficiency.
“This includes the recently concluded FTA with the UK and EFTA and ongoing FTA negotiations with the US, EU, New Zealand, Chile, and Peru. But, these initiatives will take time to show results and may not fully address the shortfall in exports to the US that may arise if the current tariff rates on India persist,” it stated.
Observing that India’s financial system stands at a vital juncture, the report stated, its sturdy financial efficiency over the previous few years, together with coverage stability and excessive infrastructure funding, has earned it a sovereign score improve by S&P from ‘BBB-‘ to ‘BBB’.
“This upgrade serves as a testament to the economy’s robust macroeconomic fundamentals and ongoing reform initiatives. The assessment comes at a moment when the economy has exhibited considerable resilience in the face of global challenges, with strong domestic demand and prudent policy management contributing to economic stability,” it stated.
On the home entrance, the report stated, aided by above-normal precipitation and higher sowing of kharif crops, the headline inflation might stay reasonable within the close to time period.
“An increased market arrival in Q1, comfortable buffer stocks and better output prospects, coupled with stable global oil markets, might keep the prices of food grain moderate. The downside risks to global growth are likely to keep international commodity prices in check, partly offsetting the impact of higher tariffs,” it stated.
To improve financial progress amidst the difficult international panorama, the Prime Minister has introduced just a few initiatives specializing in coverage reforms.
First, the creation of a Task Force for Next-Generation Reforms goals at additional simplifying laws, decreasing compliance prices, and fostering a extra enabling surroundings for startups, MSMEs, and entrepreneurs, it stated, including, the deliberate rollout of next-generation GST reforms within the coming months, with an emphasis on lowering the tax burden on important objects, is anticipated to offer direct reduction to households and enhance consumption demand.
Complementing these measures, the score improve is anticipated to cut back the borrowing prices, entice better international capital inflows, widen the entry to international capital markets, enhance disposable earnings, cut back inflationary pressures, reduce enter prices for companies, and help progress, it stated.
Amid international uncertainties, these authorities initiatives are charting a progress trajectory pushed by long-term reforms that may enhance disposable earnings, cut back inflationary pressures, and cut back prices for companies, it stated.
It additional stated that the federal government’s concentrate on employment technology by schemes just like the PM Viksit Bharat Rozgar Yojana, mixed with reforms within the schooling sector and ability growth initiatives, goals to create a workforce that’s well-prepared for the calls for of the altering world.
Taken collectively, these reform initiatives and the improved sovereign score will underpin progress by encouraging funding, stimulating consumption, growing employment alternatives and strengthening confidence within the financial system’s long-term trajectory, it added.
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