The first explosion passed off simply earlier than the 2021 Assembly elections, when MLA Mani C. Kappen broke away, rebranded himself, and walked straight into the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). The subsequent shockwave hit in 2023, triggered by the Pawar household’s dramatic vertical break up in Maharashtra. In Kerala, a insurgent faction led by N.A. Muhammad Kutty, already locked in a long-running turf battle with State chief P.C. Chacko, declared in a single day loyalty to the Ajit Pawar camp. The remaining group caught with Sharad Pawar.
But what makes the drama much more intriguing is just not the break up itself, however the ideological elasticity that either side comply with. Both sides keep that nationwide alliances might dictate loyalties throughout India, however not in Kerala, which they insist, is a separate area altogether, demanding its personal playbook.
So the NCP (Saradchandra Pawar) stays cosy inside the Left Democratic Front (LDF) fold, preventing shoulder-to-shoulder with the Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M)]. Meanwhile, the NCP, the Ajit Pawar-led occasion that may be a constituent of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Maharashtra, desires nothing to do with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led bloc in Kerala and is knocking on each door besides the NDA’s.
Mr. Muhammad Kutty, nationwide common secretary of the NCP, seeks to border this contradiction as political dexterity quite than ideological confusion. “Despite being a part of the NDA in Maharashtra, we contested the Delhi elections independently. In the northeast too, we perform individually,” he says.
Treading with warning
With the State as soon as once more marching in direction of polls, each the NCP factions are manoeuvring with warning. The SP faction desires to carry on to its current turf below the LDF umbrella. The NCP, not noted within the chilly by each fronts, has embraced a solo run.
“We’re fielding 360 candidates throughout native our bodies, together with the six Corporations,” says Mr. Kutty. At the identical time, they’re working to tug in cadres from smaller outfits such because the Samajwadi Party to strengthen grassroots muscle. Walking into the polls with the unique NCP image, the clock, serves as its largest confidence on this endeavour.
Across the aisle, the NCP-SP faction below Thomas Ok. Thomas sees the elections as an opportunity to reboot its identification with a brand new image—a person blowing a trumpet. Losing the standard image doesn’t trouble him. In Kerala, he argues, symbols have by no means actually been the NCP’s rallying cry.
“As far as Kerala goes, the NCP’s fortunes rise and fall with the LDF. And proper now, backed by a strong welfare supply report, the Left is miles forward of its rivals,” he says.
But beneath all of the swagger lies a nagging query, that who owns how a lot of the NCP vote? In 2021, the unified occasion notched up a modest 0.99% vote share and received two of its three seats. Today, with the break up formalised and loyalties examined, each factions are uncertain how a lot of that sliver of assist will comply with them into the polling cubicles.
Published – November 17, 2025 09:38 am IST








